DEFEND UTAH
AI Deterrence
AI technology has made significant advancements in the U.S. military. In the U.S. Navy, AI technology is providing a significant advantage to force-on-force engagements, and the disrupting advantages of asymmetric warfare. Coupled with autonomy in logistics support, AI is poised to significantly change the battlefield of the 21st Century. Leveraging this technology will prove invaluable in the next 10 years. Therefore, it is proposed to introduce a new deterrence and international relations doctrine - Artificial Intelligence Deterrence (AID). The United States can lead on this front in three key areas of AI: Autonomy, Cyber, and Economics (ACE). Within these disciplines of AI there exists a robust ability to ensure domestic security for the United States while economically incentivizing governments to cooperate with international courtesies.
Artificial Intelligence Deterrence (AID) can be used to provide peace similar to how nuclear deterrence has provided peace since WW2. The U.S. nuclear deterrence doctrine is based on a "Triad" of air, sea, and silo delivery systems all controlled by Airborne Launch Control System (ALCS), which is the communications link between the president and the U.S. nuclear arsenal. In reference to AID, it is proposed to have a second deterrence doctrine related to Autonomy, Cyber, and Economics (ACE).
There is currently a political shift in the United States that is driven by the return of putting the power to control our government in the hands of the People. This political and cultural movement will require an international relations and military doctrine that is once again rooted in the moral, ethical, and honor fought for and achieved on the backs of our ancestors and founding fathers. This doctrine is purely a defensive doctrine that inspires other nations to also behave with the moral, ethical, and honor that the United States was once known to have.
ECONOMY
As the United States economy transforms into an AI based economy, we will see optimizations and abundance not seen before in human history. This will result in the cost of goods and eventually services dropping significantly in the next 10 years. The Trump Administration will need to build a foundation of an AI economy that is based in innovation. This will require regulation to be minimal while keeping safety and AI ethics at the forefront. Specifically, we will need to ensure that the most impressionable people (children) are not adversely affected by algorithms that will cause emotional or mental harm. This will require some scrutiny or accountability for some social media companies and other companies that could potentially influence children.
If we are to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) or Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI), there are several achievable milestones to cross in the United States. Innovation will be at the cornerstone of these objectives and may be realized through legislation or policy. It is proposed to focus on 3 main areas of policy in order to obtain our objective of AGI.
1. Meeting future energy demands.
There is currently a shortfall of energy in the United States, and we must have a roadmap that outlines robust and achievable milestones to obtain AGI and ASI.
2. Infrastructure and manufacturing.
1.6 billion leveraged for Utah and Texas through the federal Chips and Science Act for the manufacturing of semiconductors is an example of leveraging legislative dollars to increase the capacity, access, and supply chain capability of the United States. This will also increase the capacity of offshoring this technology to the rest of the world. While this is significant, it is realized government intervention to ensure the specific environmental resources are met.
Cooling needs for this technology transition will need to be realized. It is necessary to ensure the needs of AI infrastructure is balanced with agriculture, domestic consumption, and the need to preserve our environment. If left unchecked, industry may find ways to do significant harm to an ecosystem or watershed if allowed to consume an excessive amount of water for a geographical area. State or federal legislation may need to be considered in order to deter over consumption.
An element of emerging concern is the amount and quality of training data that AI models have to train with. Synthetic data and new ways to obtain data through humanoid robots are some of the innovative ways we are approaching this concern. While the amount and quality of data is important, we must ensure data rights are maintained in the United States. There may need to be an analysis of informed consent laws or other provisions for some 3rd party data brokers to ensure personal data is not exploited - while AI is important, it is critical we don't drive AI at the expense of the United States citizen.
3. Incentivizing Innovation through policy and legislation.
Certain key areas of R&D will need to be incentivized to realize the AGI objective. Innovative examples like Torus energy storage technology or Nvidia's new GPUs can help drive the effort to obtain AGI. Most significantly, is Nvidia's new chipset design, which uses Tensor Cores that accelerate matrix operations essential for deep learning algorithms. Nvidia's GPUs can complete training epochs for neural networks up to 28.4 times faster than 8-core CPUs, significantly accelerating the development cycle for AI technologies. After Nvidia introduce Compute Unified Device Architecture (CUDA), a broader range of industries and researchers now can utilize powerful computing resources for AI development. From 3D stacking of chipsets to the innovation AI brings to manufacturing, innovation needs to be identified and effectively leveraged to keep pace with emerging global economies.
Currency & Sanctions
The United States economic influence of the span of 20 years has waned for several reasons. Significant to the misuse of sanctions, the United States currency on the world's stage has lost approximately 15% in the last 30 years. While 15% is a conservative number, the implications for the projection of power from the United States through sanctions is at risk. There is currently a move by China and Russia to return to the Gold Standard through BRICs, which will effectively remove the dollar as the dominant currency and suspend the United States ability to use sanctions to persuade behavior.
Iran
Most notably is the abuse of sanctions or lack of sanctions related to countries that have behaved badly. Iran would be a good example of how the United States under the Biden Administration has abused the sanctioning capacity of the United States. The Biden Administration's policy has significantly influenced the respect of the dollar on the world stage by allowing Iran and other terrorist organizations to receive money when we knew they were going to spend it for nefarious purposes (1). The Biden Administration also colluded with the United Nations to send $2.9 billion in U.S. currency to Afghanistan. This includes $1.8 billion in 2022 and $1.1 billion in 2023, as per a report from the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR). These actions coupled with the blatant disregard for the Taliban not meeting any of the provisions in the Doha Agreement, has resulted in the disruption of international trade and the funding of an organization we know does not or cannot meet their obligations (2).
While the Biden Administration has done much harm to how the United States conducts its financial relationships with the international community, there are opportunities to implement provisions and safeguards to ensure this behavior does not continue with another Administration. Specific reporting, auditing, and accountability need to be baked into our financial systems in order to keep our Executive Branch in check and ensure our financial systems become more transparent.
AUTONOMY
While 'autonomy' is an economic driver, it is also a U.S. military driver. With the amount of effort and accomplishments the U.S. military has made, it is poised to significantly replace human combatants and substantially increase our ability to deter our peer competitors. AI and autonomy in the military is a force multiplier and will change the landscape of how we conduct war. This comes with some dangerous and powerful responsibility for our representative government as sending our children to war will not be a significant motivator as it has been in the past.
In the DoD, significant efforts are being made to advance autonomy in weapon systems and aircraft. This effort, while important, should have the appropriate amount of oversight from Congress. Industry compartmentalization, security, and ethical warfare must be maintained while these technologies are implemented. Implementing AI in non-lethal Command and Control (C2) operations should be paralleled with implementing and optimizing algorithms in autonomous vehicles to obtain data fusion techniques at the necessity of operational tempo. In order to achieve this, engineers and scientist will need access to critical AI education in Large Language Models (LLMs) and eventually Large Quantitative Models (LQMs). This will translate in an effort to implement unclassified training with organizations like Defense Acquisition University (DAU) and classified training in how to leverage or collaborate with federal and industry labs to make program level integration of AI. Collaboration and access to program specific sources to leverage innovation of AI in the DoD will need to be realized in order to ensure engineers and scientists have the resources and access required to achieve their program objectives.
CYBER
Cyberwarfare, cyber security, and cyber compliance will be some of the main areas of concern in the near future. Most significantly is the United States transition from our current encryption key technology to a technology that will ensure AI from adversaries are not capable of breaking it. The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) has recently introduced measures for Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQS), which can provide means to deter the intrusive advantage of nefarious quantum computing, which is anticipated to increasingly become a threat as we approach AGI.
References:
UNDER CONSTRUCTION - MORE TO COME.
A policy proposal on using Artificial Intelligence Deterrence (AID) for a 21st Century military deterrence and international relations doctrine.
